Estimating the effects of pronatal policies on residential choice and fertility

Ryo Nakajima; Ryuichi Tanaka

doi:10.1016/j.jjie.2014.07.001

Estimating the effects of pronatal policies on residential choice and fertility

Ryo Nakajima, Ryuichi Tanaka

Faculty of Economics

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

5 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

In this paper, we estimate the impacts of local-government-sponsored pronatal policies on fertility by exploiting the geographical variation in policies across municipalities in Japan. We develop an empirical model that accommodates both the location and fertility choices of households to take into account their self-selected migration across municipalities. We estimate the model using microdata on households in metropolitan areas. The results suggest that self-selection may generate substantial upward bias in the estimated impacts of pronatal policies on fertility. We also find that some types of noncash benefit pronatal policies significantly increase the probability of births occurring in metropolitan households.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	179-200
Number of pages	22
Journal	Journal of The Japanese and International Economies
Volume	34
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jjie.2014.07.001
Publication status	Published - 2014 Dec

Keywords

Family policies
Fertility
Residential location choice
Selection bias

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Finance
Economics and Econometrics
Political Science and International Relations

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10.1016/j.jjie.2014.07.001

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abstract = "In this paper, we estimate the impacts of local-government-sponsored pronatal policies on fertility by exploiting the geographical variation in policies across municipalities in Japan. We develop an empirical model that accommodates both the location and fertility choices of households to take into account their self-selected migration across municipalities. We estimate the model using microdata on households in metropolitan areas. The results suggest that self-selection may generate substantial upward bias in the estimated impacts of pronatal policies on fertility. We also find that some types of noncash benefit pronatal policies significantly increase the probability of births occurring in metropolitan households.",

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AU - Tanaka, Ryuichi

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N2 - In this paper, we estimate the impacts of local-government-sponsored pronatal policies on fertility by exploiting the geographical variation in policies across municipalities in Japan. We develop an empirical model that accommodates both the location and fertility choices of households to take into account their self-selected migration across municipalities. We estimate the model using microdata on households in metropolitan areas. The results suggest that self-selection may generate substantial upward bias in the estimated impacts of pronatal policies on fertility. We also find that some types of noncash benefit pronatal policies significantly increase the probability of births occurring in metropolitan households.

AB - In this paper, we estimate the impacts of local-government-sponsored pronatal policies on fertility by exploiting the geographical variation in policies across municipalities in Japan. We develop an empirical model that accommodates both the location and fertility choices of households to take into account their self-selected migration across municipalities. We estimate the model using microdata on households in metropolitan areas. The results suggest that self-selection may generate substantial upward bias in the estimated impacts of pronatal policies on fertility. We also find that some types of noncash benefit pronatal policies significantly increase the probability of births occurring in metropolitan households.

KW - Family policies

KW - Fertility

KW - Residential location choice

KW - Selection bias

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JO - Journal of The Japanese and International Economies

JF - Journal of The Japanese and International Economies

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Estimating the effects of pronatal policies on residential choice and fertility

Abstract

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

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