Scenario-Based Robust MPC for Energy Management Systems with Renewable Generators

Shotaro Sato, Toru Namerikawa

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

2 Citations (Scopus)


This paper addresses photovoltaics (PV) power prediction and energy storage problem which are known to be a key technology in energy management systems (EMS). Extending results of the point prediction of PV power, we first describe a prediction interval (PI) method using a copula, which can express the relation between a multivariable joint distribution and each marginal distribution. Then, resorting to the PI method, the energy storage optimization problem in a building is developed. A scenario robust (SR) optimization theorem, which calculates the robustness of the optimal solution, is applied to the proposed PI method, and hence we obtain an optimal energy storage solution taking the robustness of the solution into account. Additionally, we propose a method which combines a model predictive control (MPC) technique and SR to reduce the total electricity costs. The simulation results finally illustrate the cost reduction and robustness of the proposed method.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 37th Chinese Control Conference, CCC 2018
EditorsXin Chen, Qianchuan Zhao
PublisherIEEE Computer Society
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9789881563941
Publication statusPublished - 2018 Oct 5
Event37th Chinese Control Conference, CCC 2018 - Wuhan, China
Duration: 2018 Jul 252018 Jul 27

Publication series

NameChinese Control Conference, CCC
ISSN (Print)1934-1768
ISSN (Electronic)2161-2927


Other37th Chinese Control Conference, CCC 2018


  • Energy Management
  • Prediction Intervals
  • Robust Optimization

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Computer Science Applications
  • Control and Systems Engineering
  • Applied Mathematics
  • Modelling and Simulation


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