Abstract
We empirically examine to what extent self-fulfilling expectations, i.e. sunspots, affected macroeconomic fluctuations in Japan under the zero interest rate policy. According to our Bayesian estimation results, sunspots had substantial effects on both output and inflation.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 39-45 |
Number of pages | 7 |
Journal | Economics Letters |
Volume | 97 |
Issue number | 1 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2007 Oct |
Externally published | Yes |
Keywords
- Bayesian analysis
- Indeterminacy
- Sunspots
- Zero interest rates
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Finance
- Economics and Econometrics