Validation and development of population pharmacokinetic model of vancomycin using a real-world database from a nationwide free web application

Introduction: Vancomycin requires a population pharmacokinetic (popPK) model to estimate the area under the concentration-time curve (AUC), and an AUC-guided dosing strategy is necessary. This study aimed to develop a popPK model for vancomycin using a real-world database pooled from a nationwide web application (PAT). Methods: In this retrospective study, the PAT database between December 14, 2022 and April 6, 2023 was used to develop a popPK model. The model was validated and compared with six existing models based on the predictive performance of datasets from another PAT database and the Kumamoto University Hospital. The developed model determined the dosing strategy for achieving the target AUC. Results: The modeling populations consisted of 7146 (13,372 concentrations from the PAT database), 3805 (7540 concentrations from the PAT database), and 783 (1775 concentrations from Kumamoto University Hospital) individuals. A two-compartment popPK model was developed that incorporated creatinine clearance as a covariate for clearance and body weight for central and peripheral volumes of distribution. The validation demonstrated that the popPK model exhibited the smallest mean absolute prediction error of 5.07, outperforming others (ranging from 5.10 to 5.83). The dosing strategies suggested a first dose of 30 mg/kg and maintenance doses adjusted for kidney function and age. Conclusions: This study demonstrated the updating of PAT through the validation and development of a popPK model using a vast amount of data collected from anonymous PAT users.